(No caption)
Photo from Hillary Clinton campaign website
GOP presidential hopeful Donald Trump seems to have lost ground in Michigan, the latest WXYZ-Detroit Free Press poll shows.
The poll shows Democrat Hillary Clinton with an 11-percentage-point lead over Trump, 43%-32%, and clawing back levels of support among key voting blocs including women, African Americans and millennials, Todd Spangler of the Detroit Free Press reports.
In mid-September, before the first debate and before the New York Times reported on Trump's taxes, Clinton was ahead in Michigan, but Trump had narrowed the lead to 38%-35%.
Donald Trump at the Detroit Economic Club
A strong showing for Trump in the second debate could help him regain some ground, but even then, perhaps not enough.
“The race is much more settled now no matter what demographic group you’re looking at,” said Bernie Porn, the pollster for Lansing-based EPIC-MRA, which performed the survey for the Free Press, WXYZ-TV (Channel 7) and their outstate partners. “It’s hard to imagine (Clinton losing Michigan) unless Hillary has a health (or some other) issue … I think the perceptions of Trump are pretty baked in.”
Nate Silver's website, FiveThirtyEight, gives Clinton an 84.3% chance of winning Michigan and a 77.5 percent chance of winning the national election.
