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Just as the polls opened, political guru Nate Silver of the authoritative FiveYThirtyEight site gave Hillary Clinton a 78.9-percent chance of beating Donald Trump in Michigan.
That latest calculation came hours after the candidates and their surrogates scrambled around the state on Monday, hoping to capture Michigan's 16 electoral votes. Trump was boasting earlier in the day that he was ahead in the polls in Michigan, but he didn't say which ones, or whether they were internal polls.
Some key polls show Clinton ahead by four or five points.
Every projection on the major networks has Michigan as a blue state, but there's evidence the race tightened recently.
Trump and Gov. Mike Pence weren't giving up. Pence was in Traverse City earlier Monday and both appeared at a late-night rally in Grand Rapids.
Earlier in the day, Clinton was in Allendale at Grand Valley State University and President Barack Obama was in Ann Arbor.
Overall, FiveThirtyEight was giving Clinton a 71.6 percent chance of winning the election.
Josh Katz of the The Upshot at the New York Times was giving Clinton an 84 percent chance of winning.
